Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.026210 0.028222 0.030324 0.032686 0.035269 0.038012 0.041149
2024-12-22 0.022404 0.025199 0.028273 0.031915 0.036127 0.040861 0.046609
2024-12-29 0.020047 0.023294 0.027004 0.031583 0.037112 0.043611 0.051887
2025-01-05 0.018287 0.021807 0.025957 0.031249 0.037870 0.045949 0.056659
2025-01-12 0.016707 0.020353 0.024764 0.030545 0.037998 0.047385 0.060270
2025-01-19 0.015849 0.019691 0.024451 0.030850 0.039334 0.050348 0.065975
2025-01-26 0.014973 0.018925 0.023925 0.030800 0.040147 0.052614 0.070848
2025-02-02 0.014380 0.018472 0.023752 0.031170 0.041500 0.055644 0.076948
2025-02-09 0.013604 0.017723 0.023128 0.030868 0.041876 0.057301 0.081158
2025-02-16 0.012969 0.017121 0.022657 0.030727 0.042440 0.059224 0.085853
2025-02-23 0.012360 0.016515 0.022141 0.030478 0.042809 0.060852 0.090182
2025-03-02 0.011899 0.016089 0.021844 0.030513 0.043576 0.063094 0.095596
2025-03-09 0.011318 0.015470 0.021249 0.030087 0.043636 0.064275 0.099437
2025-03-16 0.010726 0.014808 0.020560 0.029480 0.043375 0.064932 0.102452
2025-03-23 0.010274 0.014326 0.020107 0.029198 0.043593 0.066340 0.106810
2025-03-30 0.009851 0.013866 0.019662 0.028898 0.043752 0.067647 0.111070
2025-04-06 0.009366 0.013293 0.019022 0.028258 0.043319 0.067933 0.113528
2025-04-13 0.009153 0.013117 0.018969 0.028536 0.044392 0.070796 0.120830
2025-04-20 0.008872 0.012825 0.018725 0.028491 0.044916 0.072743 0.126586
2025-04-27 0.008700 0.012693 0.018719 0.028828 0.046098 0.075898 0.134866
2025-05-04 0.008395 0.012341 0.018354 0.028552 0.046207 0.077144 0.139542
2025-05-11 0.008141 0.012059 0.018086 0.028424 0.046560 0.078844 0.145241
2025-05-18 0.007879 0.011754 0.017770 0.028197 0.046721 0.080192 0.150325